The 401k Maximizer by 401k Maximizer, Inc. was developed exclusively for the US AIRWAYS 401K Plan.
 
The 401k Maximizer was developed so that every employee at US AIRWAYS can have a powerful, easy tool to manage their 401K dollars. The 401k Maximizer solves 401K fund selection decisions immediately. Every employee should be taking advantage of the tax deferred power of our 401K Plan, but most of us just don't know how to maximize our returns and limit our risk when the market turns down. The 401k Maximizer will show you how to grow your 401K account and avoid losses that threaten your retirement. 401k Maximizer gives busy employees the bottom line on what to do with their 401K account, so they can build a secure retirement and not worry about their money.

How many times have we all witnessed colleagues of ours working weekends, holidays or all night shifts just to pick up a few extra dollars in after tax money. And yet those same folks won't take 5 minutes a month to manage their 401k accounts which will have a far greater impact on their financial future than those few extra hours every month on the job. Remember, that our 401k dollars are all tax deferred and our salaries are taxable. So do yourself, and your family, a favor and make it a habit to spend the 5 minutes every month it takes to re-allocate those 401k dollars.

During the last week of every month we will show you which funds to own, and how much exposure Conservative, Moderate and Aggressive investors should have in the market, the following month. Then every day we analyze the risk/reward potential of the overall market and let you know if any significant changes occur which would warrant you to reduce or increase your 401K market exposure and how. Stay safely on track toward reaching a secure retirement. This service will show you when to avoid high-risk times in the markets and times when the odds for solid growth are in your favor. Then it's just a matter of following the fund recommendations.

The power of this approach is so effective that you will soon be telling other employees you work with about the difference it has made in your 401K plan since you signed up. Because every US AIRWAYS employee deserves the peace of mind of a secure retirement we want each of you to maximize your 401K investment returns. A secure retirement is one of the greatest gifts you can give yourself. Don't hesitate, subscribe now and start turning your tax deferred retirement dollars into the retirement security 401k plans were meant to be.

Top Down Investing

At 401k Maximizer,Inc. we approach the market from a top down perspective. First we evaluate overall market conditions to evaluate the risks in the market which will determine the level of market exposure Conservative, Moderate and Aggressive risk investors want their portfolios to have in the next month.

To demonstrate the power of analyzing overall market conditions before investing our hard earned 401K dollars let's compare the returns you would have realized using a simple 50 day moving average of the NASDAQ and S&P 500 indexes to evaluate whether it's safer in the market our out of the market, in the safety of cash (or in our case the credit union), during the period from 1972 to 1993.

For the S&P 500, buy and hold from 1972 to 1993 would have returned 349.96%, compared to 533.21% using a 50 day moving average to get in and out of the market. With the NASDAQ, buy and hold would have returned 760.74%, compared to 6,016% with timing.
If you had started out with $10,000, buy and hold would have increased that amount to $44,996 on the NYSE and $86,074 on the NASDAQ. Using a simple 50day moving average would have increased those numbers to $63,321 on the NYSE and $611,686 on the NASDAQ.

If you had bought and held the Dow Industrials from 1970 to 1994, you would have gained 472.62%. If you missed the 75 best days, you would have lost 51.56% of your money. But if you had missed the 75 worst days, you would have made 5,187%!!

We were so fascinated by this at 401k Maximizer, Inc. that we took it all the way back to 1928 and found that if you had purchased the Dow Jones industrial average index with $10,000 in 1928 and held it until the end of 2002, that $10,000 would have to grow to $330,807. If you had missed the 10 best months in the market since 1928, we're only talking about 10 months here in close to a 900 month period, then that $10,000 would have only grown to $47,387. But if you had missed the 10 worst months in the market since 1928 that initial $10,000 value would have grown to $3,713,036!! So it definitely pays to be in the safety of cash during the worst periods in the market, as most of you know who rode the market down during 2000 through the winter of 2002. The easy conclusion of all of this testing is that the key to making big profits over the long term is to avoid the market altogether during big sell offs.

Market Analysis

So how do we determine whether it's safe or not to dip our toes into the market at any given time? Well after many years of testing; back testing, forward testing, and just all around crazy testing we have found that relying upon any one indicator, like a moving average, or even two moving averages, is a very dangerous way to approach the market. Why? Because even the best indicators breakdown at times and don't work!!

So when you have your hard earned dollars on the line it's wiser to take a consensus of some of the best market barometers available to determine whether the wind is at your back or pushing you back. Consequently, our market analysis of both the large cap stocks as represented by the S&P 500 stocks or small cap stocks as represented by the Nasdaq Composite is a product of 7 different measurements of price direction, accumulation vs. distribution, and several measures of underlying market breadth.  Each of these major signals represents a consensus vote of all of the underlying indicators which drive them. The consensus of the vote shows us the positive or negative bias of the market. Consequently, if any indicator, like a moving average, breaks down and stops performing for a period of time, its failure is masked by the consensus of the other indicators, which are still performing. We look at these indicators using weekly bars of market change to dampen out short term market noise and gain a clear picture of actual market bias.

When the consensus of all 7 underlying indicators of both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite turn negative we recommend that Conservative and Moderate risk investors reduce their market exposure. Because as the losses everyone took during the bear market show, there are times when it's just better to have money invested in the safety of cash than watch it dwindle away in any investment.

Fund Selection

So how do we select our monthly recommendations? First of all, it’s important to remember that the Super Saver fund selections producing the greatest returns will slowly change during the course of a year. This is why we want to upgrade our portfolios monthly to stay invested in the funds which have the greatest potential for gains in the following month. To select those funds, we evaluate multiple measures of each of the funds returns. This is a proprietary ranking process which considers each funds recent and historical returns. This approach is considered one of the most robust mutual fund selection techniques available.

Summary - The Advantages of using 401k Maximizer, Inc. as your guide to Super Saver fund selection:

  • We start with a top down analysis of the overall market and use advanced multiple measures of underlying market breadth and strength driven by 7 different proprietary indicators all voting against each other to determine the markets bias.
  • This market bias determines the level of market risk which in turn drives the level of market exposure that Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative risk investors want to have on a month to month basis.
  • We rank all of the Super Saver funds using a thoroughly tested methodology that weighs each fund’s recent and longer term returns.

To summarize, our goal is to always position ourselves for the greatest returns based upon the current market conditions with the understanding that once in a great while the greatest returns may be the safety of cash in the credit union fund.

Notes: The information and data contained herein are compiled from the J.P. Morgan web site and other sources and are believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. 401k Maximizer, Inc. disclaims any and all liability for losses that may be sustained as a result of using the data presented herein. Past performance is no assurance of future results. All investments involve risk. You should invest only after careful examination of fund prospectuses.

401k Maximizer, Inc. monitors fund performance and publishes a monthly newsletter. The goal of 401k Maximizer is to take the guess work out of the 401k choices and to help every employee manage his or her own 401k plan. 401k Maximizer is a newsletter monitoring the 401k investment alternatives available to employees of US AIRWAYS employees of AMR Corp. US AIRWAYS is a registered trademark of AMR Corp.

 

 

 

 

401k Maximizer, Inc. specializes in developing superior systems for managing retirement plans.

The first table shows 401k Maximizer Aggressive method model returns over the past 5 years compared to the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite Market indexes.


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It’s important to consider risk along with reward whenever you approach the market.  Consequently, investors should carefully consider the draw downs or decreases in their portfolio along with the gains because after all its next to impossible to realize the gains if the roller coaster returns of your investments cause you to give up following a systematic approach to investing in the market.  The next table below shows the annualized returns of the Aggressive model portfolio over the past 5 years along with the maximum draw downs of the model portfolio and the major indexes.

Test Results – Annualized Returns/Max Drawdown: 5 Years

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Finally, the chart below shows the difference in yearly gains and total gains of the 401k Maximizer Aggressive portfolio vs. the S&P 500 index over the past 5 years.  Clearly, it pays to upgrade your holding every month using 401k Maximizer.

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Definition: Max Drawdown

Max Drawdown shows the peak value of any equity curve to the lowest value of that equity curve during the course of the time displayed. So for instance if an account started with $10,000 and grew to $100,000 and then had a drawdown of 28.3% the account value would fall to $71,700 before going on to exceed the peak equity value of $100,000 at some point in the future. So the Max Drawdown shows how wild the ride is going to be along the way and really gives you a good picture of whether a system is the type of system you can live with. Because all accounts go up and down over time it’s just that some equity curves are smoother than others. Another way of looking at it is when you run into that maximum drawdown in your account at some point in the future is that drawdown a number or dollar amount you can live with and stick with the system you're using. Because in order to finish the race you have to both cross through the valleys and climb the hills. Obviously, the lower the expected drawdowns the more likely you will be happy to stay with the system.

Notes: The information and data contained herein are compiled from the J.P. Morgan web site and other sources and are believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. 401k Maximizer disclaims any and all liability for losses that may be sustained as a result of using the data presented herein. Past performance is no assurance of future results. All investments involve risk. You should invest only after careful examination of fund prospectuses.

401k Maximizer, Inc. monitors fund performance and publishes a monthly newsletter. The goal of 401k Maximizer is to take the guess work out of the 401k choices and to help every employee manage his or her own 401k plan. The 401k Maximizer is a newsletter monitoring the 401k investment alternatives available to employees of American Airlines, American Eagle and other employees of AMR Corp. American Airlines is a registered trademark of the AMR Corp.

We provide three investing methods for you to choose from depending on your risk tolerance and objectives. Each method is described below.

The 401kMaximizer Conservative Method

This approach holds a significant percentage of its holdings in the safety of money market or fixed income investments.  Subscribers approaching retirement, or in retirement, or subscribers who just don’t want to see their account values decrease a lot from their peak value should carefully consider following this approach as it’s the easiest approach to live with as the market goes through bull and bear cycles.

The 401kMaximizer Moderate Method

The Moderate risk Method invests the majority of the total portfolio in the top ranked funds each month and slightly less than half of the total portfolio in the safety of money market or fixed income investments.

Title The 401kMaximizer Aggressive Method

This method is always 100% invested in the top ranked funds each month. This approach has the most risk of all of the three approaches but will in all likelihood outperform the other two approaches over time although with much more volatility.

This approach has the greatest amount of risk because it is invested in the market 100% of the time.

The Aggressive method is for folks who want to have 100% exposure to the markets at all times. Consequently, it will have the highest draw downs of the three methods but historical testing and real time results show that it will prospectively have the highest returns as long as the overall major market indexes trend sideways or up.

The correlations between the Super Saver funds and the major market indexes provide a wealth of useful information.  Please see the results below for the correlations over the last two years.  These results are provided by the 401k Maximizer

Symbol Fund S&P 500 Nasdaq Russell 2000
AASPX AmerAAdv INST:S&P 500 Index 100% 89% 87%
RUI-I INDEXFAM Russell 1000 100% 90% 88%
FPURX Fidelity Puritan/4 98% 85% 88%
AADEX AmerAAdv INST:LargeCap Value 97% 84% 89%
DODGX DodgeCox Stock 96% 85% 89%
AADBX AmerAAdv INST:Balanced 96% 82% 88%
RPMGX TRPrice MidCap Growth 95% 91% 92%
JANS X Janus Fund 95% 92% 88%
DMCVX Dreyfus MidCap Value 91% 92% 90%
AVFIX AmerAAdv INST:SmallCap Value 90% 84% 97%
JSIVX Janus INST:SmallCap Value 90% 86% 95%
FDIDX DreyFoun Discovery-A 88% 90% 95%
RUT-I INDEXFAM Russell 2000 87% 88% 100%
PRSCX TRPrice Science & Technology 85% 97% 81%
AAIEX AmerAAdv INST:International Eq 79% 73% 75%
FDIVX Fidelity Diversified International 77% 72% 77%
EFV-X INDEXFAM MSCI EAFE(iS) 77% 71% 73%
DRFMX Dreyfus Premier Emerging Marke 54% 59% 61%
FDRXX Fidelity Cash Reserves/55 -1% -6% 1%
AADFX AmerAAdv INST:Short-Term Bond -24% -22% -19%
FBIDX Fidelity US Bond Index/651 -37% -38% -32%

 

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